Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.133140 0.142967 0.153259 0.164861 0.177597 0.191178 0.206787
2025-10-12 0.117988 0.133084 0.149914 0.170169 0.194016 0.221364 0.255332
2025-10-19 0.105032 0.122895 0.143771 0.170200 0.203092 0.243113 0.296168
2025-10-26 0.095530 0.115067 0.138776 0.170053 0.210814 0.262970 0.336146
2025-11-02 0.087409 0.107792 0.133301 0.168123 0.215307 0.278352 0.371329
2025-11-09 0.079566 0.100007 0.126237 0.163070 0.214630 0.286105 0.396171
2025-11-16 0.073654 0.094158 0.121068 0.159835 0.215747 0.295950 0.424611
2025-11-23 0.068715 0.089182 0.116587 0.156990 0.216874 0.305540 0.453354
2025-11-30 0.065849 0.086768 0.115354 0.158502 0.224279 0.324944 0.499747
2025-12-07 0.061414 0.081870 0.110261 0.153904 0.221914 0.328757 0.520468
2025-12-14 0.056764 0.076392 0.103984 0.147042 0.215382 0.325126 0.527602
2025-12-21 0.053799 0.073156 0.100752 0.144538 0.215461 0.332198 0.554497
2025-12-28 0.052664 0.072567 0.101456 0.148289 0.226190 0.358647 0.621793
2026-01-04 0.051205 0.071428 0.101274 0.150645 0.234857 0.382581 0.688420
2026-01-11 0.049118 0.069227 0.099329 0.149983 0.238272 0.397398 0.739066
2026-01-18 0.047276 0.067295 0.097672 0.149649 0.242177 0.413471 0.794950
2026-01-25 0.045272 0.065007 0.095314 0.147944 0.243425 0.424514 0.841539
2026-02-01 0.042855 0.061960 0.091580 0.143625 0.239483 0.424872 0.863627
2026-02-08 0.040933 0.059607 0.088848 0.140864 0.238212 0.430438 0.898962
2026-02-15 0.039211 0.057495 0.086399 0.138437 0.237355 0.436714 0.937056
2026-02-22 0.038333 0.056690 0.086058 0.139726 0.243765 0.458956 1.019759
2026-03-01 0.036523 0.054301 0.082953 0.135803 0.239527 0.457620 1.039869
2026-03-08 0.034459 0.051423 0.078908 0.129941 0.230982 0.445945 1.029918